I certainly have noticed that the general environment whether in the US, China or wherever appears to be getting more difficult. And I suspect the turmoil around the world will make it more difficult. As those risks rise I would guess the dealers will have to be more particular as to who their clients are and what merchandise they elect to carry. At least some portion of the membership has a healthy respect for what dealers are going through. And no one should kid themselves, if folks like Eddie and Andrew are suffering losses for various reasons they are going to have to increase volume and/or prices to make it worth their while or they will exit the business. Like any other business it exists so long as it pays for the dealers from a risk/return perspective.
IMHO the comments to wait for the2nd and 3rd generation are increasingly working backwards. Second gen 196's are inferior to first. Although far cheaper 2nd gen 187's have markers falling off, second and third gen 2892's are fast becoming 2836's as the movements disappear, etc. But overall the bar keeps rising. Also to the extent that dealers begin to form a loose cartel or at least communicate directly that may well minimize the obsolecense risk as they can decide what generations of watches they will stock. It amazed me that within days of selling the IWC Jones a better version came out with more accurate movement.
The interesting thing is that all of the great work by our dealers here have resulted in client expectations for reps exceeding expectations for most other gen items purchased on the web. If the environment is changing for the worse communications like this are helpful because it helps us, the ignorant consumer, understand what is going on.