We'd need a picture of the balance wheel and even then ETA confirmation can be iffy... the movement may need a service...or you can find a rep-friendly watchsmith in your area who's willing to replace the movement holders...
Exactly...with billions of people in the world there's bound to be a few crazies... the chaotic/ random component is the most terrifying part of it....
Well I'm out on a limb here but if the rotor spins REALLY fast in one direction while winding and not as fast/freely in the other than the latter is the winding direction as the rotor is encountering resistance due to the gearing/mainspring...you'd have to wait for an expert like The Zigmeister to chime in...